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Why Northern Politicians’ Gang-Up Against Tinubu Will Fail (1)


In this two-part article, I will explore the recent gang-up against President Bola Tinubu by certain Northern interests and prove convincingly why it is doomed.

Recently, there has been much talk about a purported gang-up by northern politicians against Tinubu.

This supposed alliance aims to thwart his political ambitions and diminish his impact on the national stage.

However, a closer examination reveals that such efforts are likely to falter, undermined by strategic miscalculations and the enduring strengths of Tinubu’s political machinery.

To understand why this gang-up may fail, one must first grasp the source of Tinubu’s influence.

His rise to prominence began in Lagos State, where he served as governor from 1999 to 2007.

During his tenure, Tinubu built a formidable political network known for its efficiency and pragmatism.

This network extends beyond Lagos and permeates key sectors of Nigerian politics.

It comprises loyalists, strategists, and allies who have enabled Tinubu to exert significant influence over electoral outcomes and political appointments.

Central to Tinubu’s appeal is his ability to navigate Nigeria’s complex ethnic and religious landscape.

Unlike many politicians whose support bases are confined to specific regions or ethnic groups, Tinubu has cultivated alliances across diverse demographics.

His political career exemplifies a rare blend of astute coalition-building and grassroots mobilization.

This broad-based support has made him a pivotal figure in national politics, capable of influencing outcomes in elections and policy decisions.

The purported gang-up against Tinubu originates primarily from northern politicians who perceive him as a threat to their own ambitions.

However, these forces are masking their ambition with a supposed fight for the North.

They claim, without any justification, that the president has sidelined the North in his running of the country.

This coalition, however, faces several inherent challenges that may undermine its effectiveness.

First and foremost is the diversity within the northern political bloc itself.

Unlike Tinubu’s cohesive political machine, northern politicians often represent disparate interests and factions.

Attempts to forge a unified front against a seasoned operator like Tinubu are therefore fraught with internal divisions and competing agendas.

Moreover, the timing of this alleged gang-up coincides with a period of significant political flux in Nigeria.

As the nation grapples with economic challenges, security concerns, and social unrest, the electorate increasingly values leadership that demonstrates tangible results and visionary governance.

In this context, Tinubu’s track record as a transformative leader in Lagos State positions him favorably compared to many of his rivals.

His achievements in infrastructure development, education reform, and economic growth have earned him credibility and goodwill among voters across the country.

Don’t get me wrong. Nigerians are groaning and the president has as much friends as enemies. Times are hard. However, the president and his team warned about the price that we would all have to pay to rescue the country from the consequences of our past actions.

I do not think the dissatisfaction is something that Tinubu’s enemies can capitalise on. Tinubu’s political longevity is a testament to his resilience and adaptability.

Over the years, he has weathered numerous challenges and emerged stronger from each encounter.

His ability to forge alliances, negotiate political landscapes, and mobilize support reflects a deep understanding of Nigerian politics.

These qualities have enabled Tinubu to navigate the shifting currents of Nigerian governance while maintaining his relevance and influence.

Critics of Tinubu often point to his perceived weaknesses, including allegations of political opportunism and authoritarian tendencies.

However, such criticisms overlook the enduring appeal of Tinubu’s brand of politics.

His supporters view him as a pragmatic leader who gets things done, even in the face of adversity.

This perception is bolstered by his record of accomplishments and his commitment to advancing the interests of ordinary Nigerians.

In contrast, the northern politicians’ gang-up lacks a coherent strategy beyond mere opposition to Tinubu’s ascendancy.

Without a compelling alternative or a unified vision for Nigeria’s future, this coalition risks alienating voters who prioritize effective leadership and tangible results.

Nigerian voters, increasingly disillusioned with empty promises and political grandstanding, are likely to gravitate toward candidates who offer a clear path to progress and prosperity.

Moreover, the dynamics of Nigerian politics are constantly evolving, driven by demographic shifts, socioeconomic changes, and technological advancements.

Tinubu’s ability to adapt to these changes and leverage them to his advantage underscores his enduring relevance in Nigerian politics.

His innovative approach to governance, coupled with his grassroots support base, positions him as a formidable contender in any electoral contest.

In all, northern politicians’ gang-up against Bola Ahmed Tinubu is unlikely to succeed due to a combination of strategic miscalculations and Tinubu’s enduring strengths.

His formidable political machine, coupled with his broad-based support and track record of achievement, distinguishes him as a transformative leader capable of shaping Nigeria’s future.

As the nation prepares for the next electoral cycle, Tinubu’s influence is poised to remain a defining force in Nigerian politics, despite the challenges posed by his detractors.

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